September 3, 2026
"I think it's really a long shot." That's Honolulu Mayor Rick Blangiardi last August, talking about the cracked saltwater pool sitting behind the archway at the Diamond Head end of Kalakaua Avenue. If you live on the Gold Coast, you already know which pool he meant. It's the one fenced off between the Waikiki Aquarium and Kaimana Beach, the one every dog walker and sunrise jogger passes on the way down to the sand, closed since 1979 and still waiting on an answer nobody in city government seems ready to give.
What's easy to miss, living here, is how tightly that unresolved question sits inside a month the neighborhood already treats as sacred. This August ran the same two rituals it always does. And by the time the second one wrapped up yesterday, the Natatorium's future looked less settled than it has in years.
Duke's OceanFest closed out on August 24, the same date every year, because it's Duke Kahanamoku's birthday. The eleven-day run started August 14 with lei draping at Duke's statue and the Menehune Surf Fest, moved through beach volleyball on the sand in front of the Royal Hawaiian and a one-mile ocean swim that draws roughly 275 swimmers, then wound down at the Outrigger Canoe Club with a canoe regatta for active military and Wounded Warriors, adaptive surfing heats, and the Hawaiʻi Waterman Hall of Fame dinner. The Outrigger Canoe Club has hosted that closing stretch since it relocated to the foot of Diamond Head in 1964, and its members still run the Fourth of July's Macfarlane Memorial Regatta, the oldest continuously held outrigger race in the world.
Six days after OceanFest ended, the Waikiki Roughwater Swim ran its 55th consecutive edition yesterday, Sunday, August 30. The race starts at Sans Souci Beach, in the narrow stretch of sand between the Natatorium and the Kaimana Beach Hotel, and follows the same 2.4-mile course out through Kapua Channel, past the Outrigger Canoe Club, and along the length of Waikiki. Anyone who lives near Kaimana knows the choreography by heart at this point: swim caps and body marking at 7 a.m., the course roped off by mid-morning, a beach that belongs to competitors and their families until early afternoon.
None of that changed this year. What changed is what's standing behind it.
The Natatorium opened on August 24, 1927, and Duke Kahanamoku made the first ceremonial swim, on his own birthday. Ninety-nine years later, OceanFest's closing ceremony still falls on that exact date, honoring the same man at a statue less than a mile from the pool that once opened in his name. Nobody scheduled it that way on purpose. It's simply that both trace back to the same birthday. But it means the neighborhood's biggest week of the year closes, every year, on the anniversary of the one landmark it can't seem to finish deciding about.
For most of 2024 and into mid-2025, the story on the Natatorium was cautious optimism. City officials told reporters there were no plans to tear it down. The design phase was underway. Officials were aiming to have real work started in time for the site's 100th anniversary in August 2027.
Then, on August 27, 2025, Blangiardi undercut that momentum in a single interview. The number that had anchored years of fundraising conversation, a $35 million estimate from 2018 that Friends of the Natatorium believed it could raise, had grown into a $50 to $100 million range. City Council Chair Tommy Waters, who represents the district, said protecting the seawall that keeps Kaimana Beach from eroding is now the more urgent priority, ahead of restoring the pool itself.
| Estimate year | Projected cost |
|---|---|
| 2018 | $35 million |
| August 2025 | $50 million to $100 million |
That's not inflation. Nobody has produced a public accounting of exactly where the added tens of millions came from, but the pattern matches what happens to any decades-deferred coastal structure: every year the engineering studies wait, the concrete keeps corroding, and whatever gets built later has to correct for damage nobody was paying to fix.
The disagreement isn't just about money. It's about what the Diamond Head end of the beach is supposed to be.
Friends of the Natatorium, the nonprofit that's argued for restoration since 1986, still wants the archway, bleachers, and swim basin brought back to something close to their original condition, engineered this time for real seawater circulation. Vice president Donna Ching has put the stakes bluntly: tearing down a World War I memorial, she's said, is "just morally wrong."
The Kaimana Beach Coalition sees it differently. Attorney Jim Bickerton, one of the group's longtime leaders, has long argued that restoring the pool would lead to commercialization because of the high building and maintenance costs, and that the site would serve the neighborhood better as open sand. His preference is to clear the bleachers and pool entirely and add what he's described as more than 100 yards of new public beach.
The wrinkle both sides have to reckon with is oceanographic, not political. According to the Friends of the Natatorium, it's the structure itself, sitting in the water since 1927, that trapped the sand forming Kaimana Beach in the first place. There was no beach there before it was built. If the pool comes down, the city would need to engineer new groins just to keep the beach that exists today from washing away, which is one reason nobody has treated demolition as the obviously cheaper path.
None of this changes anything about how the beach functions day to day. Kaimana still closes without much warning during Hawaiian monk seal pupping season, which typically runs five to seven weeks and can shut down a stretch of sand overnight. Kaimana still sits far enough from the Ala Wai Canal outflow that its water tends to clear faster after heavy rain than the water fronting central Waikiki, though Department of Health advisories still hit this shoreline more often than beaches on Maui or the Big Island. The Hau Tree restaurant at the Kaimana Beach Hotel is still the easiest beachfront dinner reservation on this end of the strip. Old Man's, the surf break reached through Kapua Channel just past the swimming area, still fills up on the same south swells it always has.
What's different is that the Natatorium's fate, which residents have watched get punted for nearly fifty years, no longer has even the loose 2027 timeline it had a year ago. The design phase is technically still open. Nobody has filed to demolish it. But the mayor who was supposed to be the one who finally broke the deadlock is now the one publicly doubting it can happen at all.
If you own here, that ambiguity is worth tracking less as a construction question and more as a neighborhood-identity one. A restored Natatorium changes the daily walk to Kaimana into something closer to a working landmark, potentially with new amenities, new foot traffic, and new maintenance costs baked into the area's civic budget conversations. A converted beach changes it into more uninterrupted shoreline, quieter, less structured, arguably closer to what the Kaimana Beach Coalition has called the last local beach in Honolulu. Either version reshapes what people are actually buying when they buy on this stretch of the Gold Coast, and neither one is close to decided.
For now, the calendar keeps its own promise. OceanFest will close again next August 24, on Duke's birthday, whatever the archway behind it looks like by then.
If you're weighing what long-term ownership here actually involves, from the beach access questions to how a project like this could eventually affect the neighborhood around it, Chelsey Flanagan has spent years tracking exactly this kind of Gold Coast detail. Let's Connect.
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